Supercomputer predicts MU vs Wolves match: Huge gap between teams

The supercomputer has provided its prediction for the game between Manchester United and Wolves in the 19th round of the 2025/26 Premier League campaign.

Man Utd vs Wolves: Key statistics to note

• Manchester United have won 8 of their last 11 Premier League encounters against Wolverhampton Wanderers (losing 3), and the Opta supercomputer rates them as the most likely winners of this match with a 69.8% chance.
• Wolves could suffer their 26th Premier League defeat within a calendar year, equaling Ipswich Town’s unfortunate record set in 1994.
• Man Utd aims to keep a clean sheet in two consecutive Premier League matches for the first time since September 2024 under Erik ten Hag’s management.

The last time Man United hosted Wolves at Old Trafford (in April), the visitors experienced a dream moment under coach Vitor Pereira. Pablo Sarabia’s free-kick goal secured Wolves a 1-0 victory at Old Trafford, helping them avoid relegation for another season. However, eight months later, Wolves return to Old Trafford in a completely different situation. Sitting bottom of the Premier League with only 2 points from 18 games, they are 16 points adrift of safety.

The appointment of Rob Edwards to replace Pereira has not brought much improvement. The former Luton Town and Middlesbrough coach has suffered seven consecutive defeats since taking charge and is desperate to secure a win as the team remains winless this season.

If they lose again, Wolves will reach 26 Premier League losses in 2025, matching Ipswich Town’s 31-year-old record from when teams played 42 matches per season. Despite their 1-0 win at Old Trafford in April, Wolves must go back to the period from March 1960 to September 1961 to find the last time they won consecutive away league matches at Old Trafford.

Meanwhile, Man United have won 8 of their last 11 meetings against Wolves in the top flight and recently kept their second clean sheet of the Premier League season. The Red Devils currently sit 6th, three points behind 4th-placed Liverpool, aiming to keep two consecutive clean sheets for the first time since not conceding against Southampton and Crystal Palace in September 2024 under Erik ten Hag.

Man United lost their final matches of both 2023 (against Nottingham Forest) and 2024 (against Newcastle), although they had previously endured three consecutive year-end defeats during 1980–1982.

Head-to-head: Man Utd vs Wolves

Man United have won 8 of their last 11 Premier League clashes with Wolves (losing 3), including a commanding 4-1 victory at Molineux earlier this month.

Wolves won 1-0 at Old Trafford last season but have never won back-to-back away league matches against Man United since a three-game streak in 1960–1961.

Prediction for Man Utd vs Wolves

The Opta supercomputer favors a home victory, with Man United winning 69.8% of 10,000 pre-match simulations.

Wolves’ chances of securing their first Premier League win this season stand at just 13.2%, while a draw is predicted at 17%.

Expected lineups

Manchester United: Senne Lammens; Diogo Dalot, Ayden Heaven, Lisandro Martínez, Luke Shaw; Casemiro, Manuel Ugarte, Jack Fletcher; Patrick Dorgu, Matheus Cunha, Benjamin Sesko.

Coach: Ruben Amorim

Wolverhampton Wanderers: José Sá; Yerson Mosquera, Santiago Bueno, Ladislav Krejci, Matt Doherty; André, João Gomes, Hugo Bueno; Mateus Mané, Hwang Hee-chan, Tolu Arokodare.

Coach: Rob Edwards