Issue 25195 of the Football Fourteen Matches, Leeds continues their good form, Crystal Palace is expected to defend their home ground

1. Sunderland VS Leeds

The home team is ranked seventh, and as a promoted club, they have been a surprising dark horse. Their last six matches yielded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses; at home, they have 2 wins, no draws or losses, scoring 5 and conceding 7 goals. In the last five games, their only defeat was away against Manchester City. Over the last six home matches, they have 3 wins and 3 draws without a loss, scoring 10 and conceding 6, indicating a strong home performance with solid quality.

The away team stands sixteenth, relatively safe in the relegation zone. In their last six matches, they recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses; away, they have 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 14 and conceding 11 goals. They have been unbeaten in the last four games, showing full attacking potential but weak defense. In their last six away games, they only managed 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 13 goals, demonstrating poor away form, having only beaten Wolves and drawn with Brentford.

The data shows no clear bias, reflecting both teams’ recent performances.

First pick home win, second pick away win

2. Crystal Palace VS Tottenham

The home team currently ranks eighth, with 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses in their last six games. At home, they have 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 10 goals. Their three wins were against relatively weaker opponents, and their recent 1-4 away defeat to Leeds was disappointing. In their last six home matches, they have 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, scoring 8 and conceding 9 goals. They lost their last two games against Manchester United and Manchester City.

The away team is fourteenth, with 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses in their last six matches. Away, they have 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 13 goals, showing disappointing form, especially defensively. In their last six away games, they have 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, scoring 10 and conceding 12 goals, showing instability.

The data favors the home team, but considering the teams' strengths, the home side is clearly at a disadvantage. Recent form suggests the home team is slightly better, and home-away capabilities are quite balanced. This suggests a lack of confidence in the away team.

First pick home win, second pick away win

3. AC Milan VS Verona

The home team ranks second, just one point behind Inter Milan. In their last six matches, they have 4 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses; at home, 2 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses, scoring 10 and conceding 6 goals. The two draws were against weaker teams, showing some lapses. In their last six home games, they have 4 wins and 2 draws without a loss, scoring 10 and conceding 6 goals. The draws came against Pisa and Sassuolo, both not strong opponents, and they conceded four goals in those matches, indicating occasional relaxation against weaker sides.

The away team ranks eighteenth and remains in the relegation zone. In their last six games, they have 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses; away, 1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss, scoring 8 and conceding 8 goals. Their recent results include a draw and a win against Fiorentina and Atalanta, somewhat surprising. In their last six away matches, they have 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, scoring 4 and conceding 8 goals, showing very limited away strength.

The data strongly supports the home team. Normally, this is straightforward, but the home team sometimes slips up against weaker teams, which should be noted.

First pick home win, second pick draw

4. Cremonese VS Napoli

The home team ranks eleventh, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last six matches; at home, 1 win, 0 draws, 1 loss, scoring 6 and conceding 6 goals, showing average performance. Conceding six goals indicates their defense is not too weak. Their results against Bologna (win) and Lazio (draw) show some ability in tough matches. In their last six home games, they have 1 win, 3 draws, and 2 losses, scoring 6 and conceding 7 goals, with too many draws and limited offensive power.

The away team ranks third, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last six games; away, 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, scoring 6 and conceding 5 goals. Their performance is below expectations, with limited attack but decent defense. In their last six away matches, they have 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, scoring 3 and conceding 6 goals, showing poor away form.

The data favors the away team with some strength, but their recent attacking and away performance looks strained.

First pick away win, second pick home win

5. Bologna VS Sassuolo

The home team ranks sixth, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last six matches; at home, 1 win, 0 draws, 2 losses, scoring 10 and conceding 6 goals. They have not won in their last three games; in the recent six matches, they have 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring 9 and conceding 5 goals. The last two losses saw them concede four goals, showing that while home is strong, it is not invincible.

The away team is tenth, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last six matches; away, 1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss, scoring 10 and conceding 8 goals, showing decent form. In their last six away games, they have 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 8 and conceding 5 goals, demonstrating some away strength.

The data supports the home team with considerable confidence, but given the away team’s recent form and away ability, this support might be a bit excessive.

First pick draw, second pick home win

6. Atalanta VS Inter Milan

The home team ranks ninth, with an overall average performance. In their last six matches, they have 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses; at home, 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 7 and conceding 10 goals. They lack the toughness to win hard matches. In their last six home games, they have 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 6 and conceding 6 goals, with limited attacking power.

The away team currently leads the league, with 5 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss in their last six games. Away, they have 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, scoring 12 and conceding 3 goals, showing strong form. In their last six away matches, they have 5 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 10 and conceding 5 goals. Their only loss was to Napoli.

The data favors the away team but with moderate strength, seemingly to temper enthusiasm for the away side.

Away win

7. Arouca VS Gil Vicente

The home team ranks sixteenth, with 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses in their last six matches; at home, 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, scoring 5 and conceding 13 goals, showing weak attack and defense. However, their last two games include a win and a draw, indicating improved form. In their last six home games, they have 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses, scoring 2 and conceding 13 goals, clearly showing limited home strength.

The away team ranks fourth, with 1 win, 4 draws, and 1 loss in their last six matches; away, 0 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses, scoring 5 and conceding 5 goals, with good defense but limited attack. In their last six away games, they have 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 8 and conceding 4 goals. They have won their last three away games, and overall, their attack and defense are superior to the home team.

The data supports the away team, though with limited strength, which matches the away team’s recent lack of attacking firepower.

Away win

8. Casa Pia VS Gilmarães

The home team ranks fifteenth, with 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses in their last six matches; at home, 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring 8 and conceding 12 goals, showing limited defensive ability but decent attack. In their last six home games, they have 0 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 13 goals. Although their performance is poor, their three draws were against upper-mid-table teams, indicating occasional good performances.

The away team ranks eighth, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last six matches; away, 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 7 goals. Their two losses were against top three teams, overall decent. In their last six away games, they have 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, scoring 4 and conceding 6 goals, showing good defensive work away but weak attack.

The data favors the away team but with limited strength, reflecting that both sides are fairly evenly matched, and the away team has limited attacking ability on the road.

First pick draw, second pick away win

9. Braga VS Benfica

The home team ranks fifth, with 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses in their last six matches; at home, 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, scoring 10 and conceding 5 goals. In their last six home games, they have 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring 9 and conceding 5 goals. They are on a three-game winning streak, but their opponents were not very strong, so the quality is limited.

The away team ranks third, with 4 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses in their last six matches; away, 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, scoring 13 and conceding 4 goals. Overall, they are stronger than the home team. In their last six away matches, they have 5 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, scoring 14 and conceding 2 goals. Their only away draw was against league leaders Porto.

The data supports the away team but with moderate strength, which aligns with the home team’s strong defense. However, the away team’s attack is clearly stronger.

First pick away win, second pick draw

10. Lisbon VS Rio Ave

The home team ranks second, with 5 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses in their last six matches; at home, 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, scoring 19 and conceding 3 goals, showing an outstanding performance. In their last six home games, they have 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 17 and conceding 3 goals.

The away team ranks tenth, with 1 win, 3 draws, and 2 losses in their last six matches; away, 1 win, 2 draws, and 0 losses, scoring 6 and conceding 10 goals. In their last six away games, they have 2 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, scoring 8 and conceding 6 goals, showing very good away capability.

The data gives absolute support to the home team with a two to two-and-a-half goal handicap, so this match should not be a big problem.

Home win

11. Gabon VS Mozambique

The data supports the home team, and the strength of the support is quite good.

First pick home win, second pick draw

12. Equatorial Guinea VS Sudan

Home win

13. Algeria VS Burkina Faso

Home win

14. Côte d'Ivoire VS Cameroon

First pick home win, second pick away win