1. Nottingham vs Man City
The home side is ranked 17th and still faces relegation concerns based on their points tally. Their recent six matches show 3 wins and 3 losses, no draws; home record is 1 win, no draws, 1 loss, with 7 goals scored and 6 conceded. Their form is very unstable, showing a regular pattern of alternating losses and wins. However, they have defeated Liverpool and Spurs. Over the last six home games, they have 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, scoring 8 and conceding 9, with defense being a significant issue.
The away team ranks second, trailing Arsenal by just two points, keeping their title hopes alive. Their recent six games include 5 wins and 1 loss, no draws; away record is 2 wins, no draws, 1 loss, scoring 18 and conceding 8. Although their defense is not particularly strong, their powerful attack compensates for it. The recent opponents have not been very strong. In the last six away matches, they have 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring 11 and conceding 8, showing some inconsistency on the road.
The odds favor the away team, but not decisively, indicating some reservation about their strength. It's wise to be cautious with this match.
First choice: away win; second choice: draw.
2. Brentford vs Bournemouth
The home team is ranked 12th, with recent form showing 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses in six matches; home record is 1 win, 1 draw, no losses, scoring 7 and conceding 8. All three losses were away games. In the last six home games, they have 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 13 and conceding 7, showing strong home form relying on home points.
The away team ranks 15th, performing much worse than at the start of the season. Their recent six matches include no wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses; away record is no wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Their defense is poor. In the last six away matches, they have no wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, scoring 12 and conceding 19. Their attack is decent, but defense is weak.
The odds do not strongly favor either side, but judging by recent form and home/away strengths, the home team is clearly superior. However, the away team's attacking capability should not be overlooked. The home team will miss key striker Watala and defensive midfielder Onyeaka due to African Cup commitments, which will affect their offense. The away team is less affected.
First choice: home win; second choice: away win.
3. Burnley vs Everton
The home team ranks 19th, with a high likelihood of relegation. Recent six matches show no wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, scoring 12 and conceding 19. They can score but their defense is very poor. At home, in the last six matches, they have 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses, scoring 5 and conceding 9, with four consecutive home defeats. Worse, some key players have left for the African Cup, greatly impacting the team.
The away team ranks 10th, with recent form of 3 wins, no draws, and 3 losses; away record is 2 wins, no draws, 1 loss, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Their three losses were against strong teams Newcastle, Chelsea, and Arsenal, so losing is understandable. Against mid-to-lower teams, they remain steady. In the last six away games, they have 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, scoring 4 and conceding 7. Their away form looks weak, struggling against strong teams but trying to get points from others.
The odds favor the away team slightly, but not strongly, reflecting limited confidence, especially since their main striker Ndiaye and midfielder Gueye are away for the African Cup.
First choice: away win; second choice: draw.
4. Liverpool vs Wolves
The home team has climbed to fifth place thanks to a recent run of point gains. Their last six matches show 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss; home record is 1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss, scoring 10 and conceding 8. Over the last six home games, they have 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring 8 and conceding 7. With the Pharaoh player away at the African Cup, the team might perform even better in his absence.
The away team is at the bottom with no signs of recovery, further worsened by multiple key players missing due to African Cup duty.
The odds strongly support the home team. The Pharaoh's absence has little impact on Liverpool.
Home win.
5. West Ham vs Fulham
The home team is 18th, five points behind 17th place, facing a tough challenge. Their recent six matches show no wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses; at home, no wins, no draws, 2 losses, scoring 6 and conceding 12. In the last six home games, they have 2 wins and 4 losses, scoring 9 and conceding 12. The departures of Wan-Bissaka and Diouf have weakened their defense significantly.
The away team ranks 13th, with recent form of 4 wins, no draws, and 2 losses; away record is 2 wins, no draws, no losses, scoring 12 and conceding 10, performing quite well. In the last six away matches, they have 2 wins, no draws, and 4 losses, scoring 8 and conceding 13.
The odds show no clear preference. The away team’s key defender Basi, and left-side attackers Iwobi and Chukwuese are away for the African Cup, reducing the left-side attack by about 30%. The home team must secure enough points from such opponents to avoid relegation.
First choice: draw; second choice: home win.
6. Chelsea vs Aston Villa
The home team is fourth, with recent form of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss; home record is 1 win, 1 draw, no losses, scoring 8 and conceding 6. Their loss was away, and over the last six home games, they have 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Their performance is unstable, with losses to Sunderland and Brighton. Fortunately, no players have left for the African Cup, keeping the squad relatively intact.
The away team is impressive; under Emery’s guidance, they have won seven consecutive matches and climbed to third place, just three points behind the leader. Their recent six matches are all wins; away record is 3 wins, no draws, no losses, scoring 14 and conceding 8. In the last six away games, they have 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 12 and conceding 10. Now, anything seems possible.
The odds give the home team strong support, but considering recent performances, this underestimates the away team, which is risky.
First choice: home win; second choice: away win.
7. Torino vs Cagliari
The home team ranks 13th, with recent form of 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses; home record is 1 win, no draws, 2 losses, scoring 6 and conceding 10. Their offense and defense are poor, but they have won their last two games, showing improvement. In the last six home matches, they have 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Although they conceded 8 goals in two losses, overall performance is decent.
The away team ranks 15th, with recent form of 1 win, 3 draws, and 2 losses; away record is no wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring 8 and conceding 9. Their attack is stronger than the home team’s. In the last six away games, they have no wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, scoring 5 and conceding 9.
The odds favor the home team significantly. Their recent two victories may boost their confidence.
Home win.
8. Lecce vs Como
The home team is 14th, with recent form of 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses; home record is 2 wins, 1 draw, no losses, scoring 4 and conceding 5. Although lacking in attack, their defense is quite solid. In the last six home games, they have 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 5 and conceding 4. They narrowly lost to Napoli and were held to a draw by Bologna.
The away team ranks 7th, with recent form of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses; away record is 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Their two losses came against Inter and Roma, which is understandable. In the last six away games, they have 1 win, 3 draws, and 2 losses, scoring 6 and conceding 7.
The odds favor the away team strongly, but this does not account for the home team’s defensive strength.
First choice: away win; second choice: draw.
9. Udinese vs Lazio
The home team ranks 12th, with recent form of 2 wins and 4 losses, no draws; home record is 1 win, no draws, and 2 losses, scoring 5 and conceding 12. Their attack and defense are poor. In the last six home matches, they have 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 8. They have defeated Atalanta and Napoli but are considered unpredictable.
The away team ranks 8th, with recent form of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses; away record is 1 win, no draws, and 2 losses, scoring 4 and conceding 4. Their attack is weak but defense strong. They remain unbeaten recently. In the last six away games, they have 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, scoring 4 and conceding 3.
The odds favor the away team slightly, but the support is minimal. Although their defense is solid, their attack lacks sharpness.
First choice: away win; second choice: home win.
10. Pisa vs Juventus
The home team ranks 19th, with recent form of 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses; home record is 1 win, no draws, and 2 losses, scoring 5 and conceding 8. In the last six home games, they have 1 win, 3 draws, and 2 losses, scoring only 1 goal and conceding 3, showing almost no attacking ability but strong defense.
The away team ranks 5th, with recent form of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss; away record is 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 7 and conceding 5. Their defense is as strong as Roma’s, while their attack is inconsistent, similar to Bologna’s losses. In the last six away matches, they have 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, scoring 5 and conceding 7.
The odds strongly favor the away team but overlook the home team’s solid defense.
First choice: away win; second choice: draw.
11. Famalicao vs Amadora
The home team ranks 6th, with recent form of 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses; home record is 1 win, no draws, and 2 losses, scoring 8 and conceding 6. Although form is not great, their defense remains solid. Their opponents with one draw and three losses are not weak, having lost to Porto, Braga, and Benfica, and drawn with seventh-place Moreirense. They conceded only 4 goals in those three losses. In the last six home games, they have 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, scoring 8 and conceding 5.
The away team ranks 14th, with recent form of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses; away record is 1 win, no draws, and 2 losses, scoring 10 and conceding 12. Their two wins came against weaker opponents, so their value is limited. In the last six away games, they have 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, scoring 6 and conceding 12, showing average away ability.
The odds give the home team strong support. Based on recent form and home/away strength, the away team is likely to suffer defensively.
Home win.
12. Benin vs Botswana
Judging by rankings and overall value, the home team is stronger than the away team, but both are the weakest in their group, essentially playing the role of underdogs.
The odds favor the home team with decent strength, but recent performances suggest both teams are quite similar in attack and defense.
First choice: draw; second choice: home win.
13. Uganda vs Tanzania
The home team is stronger than the away team. Looking at the last ten matches, the home team’s attack is considerably better.
The odds support the home team, though not strongly. With home advantage, the home team holds the edge.
Home win.
14. Nigeria vs Tunisia
The home team is stronger than the away team, and their home performance surpasses the away team’s away form.
The odds favor the home team slightly but are conservative. Considering the overall strength of both sides, the data shows some restraint.
First choice: home win; second choice: draw.